Using the ECMWF 48 day long range model we will have a look what it shows over the month of April and what trends. Note this model will not give you a pinpoint forecast but one thing it can do is give a idea to what could lie ahead over the next 3 to 4 weeks.

In this forecast we will be looking at

Mean sea level pressure: Weekly mean anomalies
2 m temperature: Weekly mean anomalies
Precipitation: Weekly mean anomalies
On some occasions the Ensemble forecast (ENS)

Low pressure dominating the weather into the 3rd week of April

Back to the outlook now and looking at the next 3 week the latest warnings here Ecmwf 48 day forecast signals lower pressure for at least the next 2 and half or 3 weeks with unsettled weather and outbreaks of heavy rain or showers at times. Windy or even stormy conditions cannot be ruled out either.

Into the 3th and the 4th week of April there are some weak signals that higher pressure will develop bringing drier conditions as seen on the below ecmwf 48 day outlook.

So we may get an improvement as week head into the early May bank holiday weekend.

Rainfall amounts above normal for the next 3 weeks

Rainfall amounts over the next 3 weeks are signalled to remain above average as low pressure dominants. Closer to the end of this month the should be near normal for the time of year.