UPDATE - Risk of 2 powerful storms this weekend and next week


STORM 3.jpg

Just a quick update regarding the very unsettled period we look likely to enter.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY

First of all the first very windy period to watch is Saturday night and Sunday when a area of low pressure moves passed the northwest of Ireland bring potentially severe and damaging gusts but details on this is yet to uncertain. Possibly the risk of coastal flooding also.

Continues below

MONDAY
Monday then a very cold Polar maritime airmass like we seen at the start of last week will bring the risk of similar conditions with falls of snow for places. It will also remain windy but gusts not severe.

TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
By midweek next the jet stream looks set to become very strong with a area of low pressure showing on models for some time now and shows the threat of a even stronger period of winds than Sundays low. This could give widespread severe and damaging gusts with some areas seen extreme gusts. Extensive coastal flooding would also occur due to high spring tides.

A area of low pressure will pass of to the north of Ireland overnight with a strong winfield to the southern flank of the low. Overnight. Northwest winds will increase across the northwest and North of Ireland with mean speeds of 50 to 60 km/h and gusts of 90 to 100 km/h. Strongest near coasts.

Later next week looks set to stay rather unsettled with further wet and windy weather and the risk of wintry showers possibly at times. From Saturday night into the middle of next week there is a potential for very disruptive weather.

The next name storm will be storm Ciara, followed by Dennis.

CHART 1  this shows the risk of strong winds on Sunday. Taken from the ECMWF model.

CHART 1
this shows the risk of strong winds on Sunday. Taken from the ECMWF model.

CHART 2 Shows a very powerful wind storm on Tuesday into Wednesday. Taken from the GFS Model.

CHART 2
Shows a very powerful wind storm on Tuesday into Wednesday. Taken from the GFS Model.

CHART 3 Shows a very powerful wind storm on Tuesday into Wednesday. Taken from the ECMWF Model

CHART 3
Shows a very powerful wind storm on Tuesday into Wednesday. Taken from the ECMWF Model

CHART 4 Shows the risk of snowfall on Monday as colder polar maritime air hits Ireland. Both the ECMWF and GFS show this outcome.

CHART 4
Shows the risk of snowfall on Monday as colder polar maritime air hits Ireland. Both the ECMWF and GFS show this outcome.

Note that these charts are subject to change over the next few days and if any changes occur I will keep you updated.

Kenneth from the Donegal Weather Channel



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