SIGNS OF THE WEATHER TURNING MUCH COLDER AT THE END OF THE MONTH
Latest model runs continue to show increasing signs of colder weather at the end of this month with the likely hood to cold weather and wintry showers to finish the month.
On Sunday high pressure will eventually break down with the Atlantic sending in weather fronts from time to time starting the week. around mid week most models show the risk of the weather turning colder even colder by the end of the week. over the next few days this cold spell may be delayed but i do feel from around the 20th and 21st of January onward we will begin to see colder air starting to effect both Ireland and the UK
The latest ECM monthly signals very cold temperature anomalies for much of NW Europe including the Ireland & the UK . This response is from recent warming in the Stratosphere as propagate downward to the surface level .
This is for the end of January heading into February where northern blocking looks best.
Its around the time frame at the end of December I mentioned I would be keeping a eye on and today the GFS and CFS models also are hinting at the same scenario.
I thought I would post this update as I have received a number of messages over the past week from people wondering if there is likely to be a change from this current spell of dull and mostly dry weather.
The new GEFS ensembles are just shown a few few mild options and hinting more towards a more prolonged cold spell to finish this month into February.
The latest ECM 46 day model continues to show strong signs of high pressure over Greenland from late January which could lead to bitterly cold air from eastern Europe/Russia pushing in over Ireland and the UK later this month and over the start of February. It would the same set up we seen at then end of last February into March 2018 that brought very cold temperatures and record snowfall.
That is it for this update folks the big one now will be to watch models over the coming week when we should to see some further signs on the short range models of colder weather which we are already seen as of now.
Kenneth Mc Donagh from the Donegal Weather Channel
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