WEEKEND WEATHER UPDATE - LESS OF RISK OF STRONG WINDS ON SUNDAY BUT HEAVY RAIN LOOKING LIKELY FOR THE BULK OF IRELAND
The latest track of a area of low pressure set to pass over Ireland this weekend has now the center of the low moving into county cork moving west to east across the southern coast.
This now mean there is a less chance of see very strong winds across parts of the country with the main risk been heavy rainfall and the risk of spot flooding Saturday night into Sunday.
Looking at the models this morning there is now some good agreement on the track of this area of low pressure on Sunday which is due to move in of the Atlantic over the morning hours with the main wind field of to the south and west of the low. With the low now looking likely to track over the south coast or just of the south coast of Ireland the main area of wind will be keep out over the sea of the coast of Munster. The main risk from this system will now be rainfall. Below you can see the latest model run from the Met Eireann Harmonie model run this morning.
On Saturday night and Sunday morning a band of heavy rainfall associated with this area of low pressure will pass over Ireland with the heaviest of the rainfall over Munster, south Connacht and Leinster. The northern half and northwest of Ireland at this stage looks as is it will miss the heaviest of the rain but flooding in other areas is likely and a possible weather warning for rainfall may be issued. At this stage I do not think this will be a named storm as conditions do not look likely to reach the status orange warning criteria.
I will continue to keep a eye on this system over the coming hours and update if there are any major changes.
Kenneth from the Donegal Weather Channel